By Farooq A. Kperogi, Ph.D. Twitter: @farooqkperogi Elections inspire trepidation in Nigeria because they are traditionally bitter an...
By Farooq A. Kperogi,
Ph.D.
Twitter:
@farooqkperogi
Elections inspire trepidation in Nigeria because they are
traditionally bitter and slaughterous affairs. But violence doesn’t necessarily
inhere in elections; it is political actors who exploit elections to instigate
violence. It is the utterances of politicians that predispose the nation to
avoidably violent post-election upheavals.
All political parties are guilty of instigating, or invoking
the threat of, violence for self-interested political gains. Even former president
Olusegun Obasanjo whom the passage of time appears to have sanitized described
the 2007 presidential election as a “do-or-die” matter.
“This election is a do-or-die affair for me and the PDP,” he told elders from
Abeokuta North Local Government on February 11, 2007. “This coming election is
a matter of life and death for the PDP and Nigeria.”
Former Lagos State governor Bola Tinubu who fancies himself
as a democrat threatened in June 2014 that the Ekiti and Osun governorship
elections that year— and the general elections a year later— were “going to be rig and roast.”
As a presidential candidate, Muhammadu Buhari had on many
occasions explicitly instructed his supporters to extra-judicially murder vote
riggers. In 2011, for instance, he told his supporters in a now viral video, “Ku fita ku yi zabe. Ku Kasa. Ku tsare. Ku
raka. Ku tsaya. Duk wanda bai yarda ba, ku halaka shi!” Rough idiomatic
translation: “Go out and participate in the election. Cast your vote. Protect
it. Accompany it (to the collation center). Wait for it (to be counted). Anyone
who stands in the way, kill him!” In the video, his audience gave wild chants
in agreement.
And that was precisely what happened. In the aftermath of
Buhari’s loss in the 2011 election, at least 800 southerners and Christians who
lived in the far north, including 10 youth corps members who worked as ad hoc
electoral staff, were murdered in cold blood.
A year later, Buhari again threatened violence if elections
were rigged. He said there would be a scenario of “kare jinni, biri jini” (Hausa for “the dog is soaked in blood, the
baboon is soaked in blood”). Many commentators, including me, had defended the expression as an idiomatic substitute for “fierce
competition” rather than a literal call for bloodletting. Nevertheless, in
retrospect, both the context of his utterance and his past and subsequent calls
for extra-judicial mass murders of so-called riggers subvert the admissibility
of our defense.
Nothing proves this more than Buhari’s February 19 revelation on national television that he had “directed the police and
the military to be ruthless” with ballot snatchers, and that whoever leads
thugs to snatch ballot boxes on election day would be doing so “at the expense
of his own life.”
I have as much revulsion toward election riggers as anybody
else. However, Buhari’s outburst is disturbing and indefensible for at least three
reasons. First, it is unconstitutional and therefore illegal. Jail time, not
death, is the punishment for rigging. Given the notoriety of Nigerian security
forces for trigger-happiness, Buhari’s instruction amounts to license to mass
murder.
Second, it's ironic that Buhari is complaining of rigging
and even giving orders for security forces to extra-judicially murder alleged
riggers when he is, in fact, a serial beneficiary of rigging. For instance, Alhaji
Attahiru Bafarawa, former Sokoto State governor who doubled as ANPP chairman in
2003, revealed to the author of a new, explosive book titled Politics as
Dashed Hopes in Nigeria that he rigged the ANPP presidential primary election for Buhari in 2003—with
Buhari's active knowledge and permission. He said Rochas Okorocha won “27 of
the 36 states and the FCT, while Buhari could only win five.” The story came
out on January 30, and it hasn't been refuted up to now.
It's also now evident that Buhari's 2015 "victory"
was fraudulent. First, INEC's data from the 2015 election, as I pointed out in
a previous column, showed that Buhari was a disproportionate recipient of
possibly sham votes that were masked with and legitimized by “incidence forms.”
“Of the 31,746,490 accredited voters in the election, 13,536,311 — representing
42.6 percent of voters — voted without biometric accreditation. Out of this
number, 10,184,720 votes are from states won by Buhari," according to
DeepDive Intelligence, which got the data from INEC’s website.
Recall, too, that INEC’s Resident Electoral Commissioner in
Kano, from where suspicious 2 million votes were recorded for Buhari, was burnt alive in his home, along with his wife and two children. The man, identified
as Mukaila Abdullahi, was said to be uncomfortable with the electoral heist
perpetrated in Kano on Buhari’s behalf and wanted to blow the lid off the scam.
Everyone also knows that underage voting is rampant in the
northwest, Buhari’s electoral stronghold, which is just as illegal as ballot
snatching. And, of course, post-election manipulation is an even bigger, more sinister
threat to the integrity of elections than ballot snatching. In a moment of
unguarded candor, Buhari confessed to participating in post-election
manipulation in favor of his party in the last Osun governorship election.
At the banquet hall of the Osun State Government House on
January 27, Buhari admitted that APC won the Osun governorship election only with “remote
control,” a euphemism for underhand manipulation of election results after the fact. “Remote
control” is worse than “ballot snatching.” Should Buhari and other “remote
controllers” in the Osun election lose their lives for their treachery against
the democratic process?
But what is
particularly disturbing about Buhari’s instruction to security forces to
extra-judicially murder so-called ballot snatchers is that Buhari suffers from
a mental disorder that leads him to think that any vote against him is rigging.
Here's my evidence.
When he ran for president in 2003, 2007, and 2011, Buhari
never campaigned in the South. In fact, he didn't even campaign in the
Christian North. Yet he believed he "won" the elections and was
"rigged out" by PDP. How could he possibly win a national election
when he only campaigned among Hausa-speaking northern Muslims? The only time
Buhari's presidential campaign extended beyond the Muslim North was in 2015.
And even though evidence now shows that his victory was
possibly aided by rigging in spite of the significantly more national appeal of
his candidature in 2015, Buhari believes that the 2015 election in which he
emerged victorious was the only free and fair election in Nigeria. That, right
there, is the picture of the mind of a man held hostage by a psychic disorder.
Since Nigerian security forces are now explicitly biased in
his favor, as several photos illustrate and the utterances of the heads of the
military show, a vote against him might be interpreted as "rigging"
or "ballot box snatching" and be met with deadly force.
Buhari’s APC henchmen have come out to defend his
bloodthirsty executive rhetorical thuggery. However, when a far less incendiary
rhetoric than Buhari’s was uttered by a senior police officer four years ago, his party
was up in arms against the policeman. On
February 13, 2015, AIG Joseph Mbu told his men to shoot at electoral offenders
who first shot at them. Two days later, APC called Mbu a “lawless
and barbaric policeman.” Now, would they say Buhari is a lawless and barbaric
president?
Most importantly, though, had Buhari signed the Electoral
Act, which provides for on-the-spot electronic transmission of election
results, there would be no need for ballot boxes and no risk of snatching them.
Buhari is, no doubt, a violent,
bloodthirsty man, but may today’s election be peaceful in spite of him.
Thank you very much for this well-crafted article, however, the translation of "duk wanda bai yarda ba" to English isn't anyone that stands on the way..... But anyone who disagrees or disputes.
ReplyDeleteAmin!
ReplyDeleteAmeen. But I thought today's column would be on the postponement of the election.
ReplyDeleteAtiku vote In Adamawa... Asked if he'll accept if defeated, he said "I'm A Democrat"
ReplyDeletePresident Buhari,
Speaking on if he would congratulate the winner after the election, he said: "I will congratulate myself at the end of the election."
By the two statements above, i believed Nigerians will know you is good for them.